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...from Aussie Storm Chaser David Simpson ~ Melbourne Australia

 

STORMPLANET - Severe Event Reports - Storm Chase!!


Monday November 1st - Tuesday November 2nd 2004
Cup Day Long Weekend Storm Chase

How to read this report | Chase Report Nov 1st | Chase Report Nov 2nd | Video Listing |
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How to read this report

This is a large report with many images, broadband users should be ok but dialup users may need to wait a minute or two for all thumbnails to load. But...it's worth the wait as we took some terrific images during the chase and have inserted images within the report timeline. All images here are clickable to a larger example but most images are still below 100k. There are references to various videos throughout the report and the videos are listed at the end of the report with file download sizes as well. I hope you enjoy the chase report, please email me with your feedback!

There are still more video to be loaded and more images, so please come back soon to see all the extra material! Email me if you wish to be notified when this is done. David.

Chase Report -
Written by Andrew McDonald under duress
Edited & compiled by David Simpson at leisure

1st November 2004

The Setup.....

Weather models were all over the place right up until the morning of the chase.  David and I corresponded throughout the Sunday afternoon discussing the various options.

Below: Satellite & Synoptic charts and animated satellite loop. Courtesy Weatherzone.









A weak trough (dryline) was moving slowly westward through NSW.  At 3pm Sunday, the trough was sitting from about Albury in SE NSW up through to just W of Cobar and well W of Bourke in NW NSW.  Dew points on the E side of the trough were between 10 and 14C (higher further N), however, with dew points on the W side of the trough being below 0C (some as low as -7C), the boundary was quite clearly defined.  The trough drifted slowly westward during the afternoon/evening as a ridge built up the east coast of Australia and kicked off a few storms from Wagga up to Bourke.  The lightning tracker was well lit up for most of the afternoon and evening indicating that the potential was there for more storms the following day/s.

The models were showing a weak trough pushing across Victoria on the morning of the chase at around 9am.  This trough was expected to extend up to the inland trough and drag the southern part of that trough through Victoria and S NSW.  Moisture was expected to increase through S NSW and NE VIC and an upper trough was forecast to push through in the mid afternoon making things interesting with 500mb temperatures forecast to drop down to -16 to -17C in that area.  Shear was forecast to be quite nice in the lower levels with 900 through to 850mb winds progged at 25-30knts from the N-NNW.  700mb winds were progged to be about 35knts from the WNW and similar shear at 500mb (although strengthening towards evening as the upper trough approached).  The 300mb winds were progged for 60knts from the West. 

Hit the road!!....

David and I spoke on Sunday night and we agreed to meet at 6am at his place with an initial target area in mind of Wagga.  Given the early development of storms on the previous day and a relatively weak cap, we figured we would want to be in our target area no later than midday.  I woke up at 5am and left my house at just after 5:30am.  It was warm in Melbourne – probably about 20C.  I arrived at David’s place at 6:10am and we were on the road (in his car) by 6:11am!  We headed up the Melba Hwy to Yea and then cut across through Seymour to the Hume Hwy.  After a brief coffee stop in Seymour, we headed North. 

It was quite cloudy although we could see some nice clear air to the N and NE.  As we reached the clearing edge of the cloud, we were treated to some spectacular iridescence in a mackerel cirrus band.  We had the radio tuned in waiting for the BoM to come on and the first humorous event of the day occurred with the radio announcer interviewing someone about unemployment.  He said, “So, given that the unemployment rate is currently low, does that mean that the employment rate is high?”  At this point David nearly lost control of the car as we laughed at the intelligence of such a question. These Tasmanians... Anyway…back to the weather…

Ned Kelly Country....

After another brief stop at Glenrowan for breakfast (Maccas) and fuel at around 9am (T = 25C, Td = 14C), we continued North towards Albury and then on to Wagga.  We were initially a little concerned about the cloud pushing in from the W however as we approached Albury, we could see plenty of clear sky to the W with nice patches of AcCas scattered around the place. 

We passed through Albury just before 10am with clear skies and AcCas in all directions.  Thicker cloud remained to our S with some distant cirrus to the W.  Funny thing #2 for the day…those interested in car racing would know what a car looks like when an engine blows….some poor bugger found out the hard way on the Hume just S of Albury with smoke billowing from the exhaust as their engine went…hehe.

We arrived in Wagga at about 11:30am with the sky looking somewhat glum.  We headed to the Wagga library to check the soundings, radar, sat pics and AWS observations.  We noted a short line of cells to our S near Culcairn which we soon found out that Robbie Alexander was underneath.  We left the library and headed to the lookout in Wagga and waited and waited, all the while getting reports of CG’s and hail from the cell to our S.  Finally things started to kick off around Wagga with some showers/weak storms developing to

 

our W and NW.  We watched these cells approach our location and David and I got quite excited after seeing multiple CG’s, some of which were dropping out of very benign looking areas.  Shortly after 1:30pm, the cells moved overhead and we were treated to some very nice heavy rain, a few CLOSE lightning strikes (very close given that we were on the highest hill with 7 radio towers) and winds of up to 25knts.  The drops were very large however we didn’t manage any hail.  We took some video of this cell however once it had passed over, things were looking somewhat bleak again with a very rainy looking sky. 

Video 1 | Video 2 | Video 3

A few phone calls and a quick discussion resulted in us heading N towards Junee.  We were hoping to pick something up on the back of the cells as the line moved slowly to the East.  Rainy skies with the odd burst of static had us feeling somewhat disappointed but we pushed on to Temora where we hoped to get internet access to see if we were going to get anything more for the day. 
Video 4

It was already 3:30pm but we remained in good spirits even though the day hadn’t really fired as we thought. 

 

Temora....to stay or not to stay

We found the Temora library and loaded radar and satellite images for the area we were in.  We were not surprised to see the storms that had passed over us were not impressive on radar but we were surprised by the LARGE isolated storms W of Hay and Griffith (200km to our W).  The observations out there were not great (T = 29C and Td = 7C) but these storms were producing large amounts of lightning.  Our options were to hang around in Temora and hope for something to develop behind the initial line of storms (which had incidentally missed Temora) OR to head W and intercept the cells out near Griffith (which were moving ESE at 60km/h). 

We were both pretty keen on seeing some lightning so at about 4pm we headed out of the library with the mindset of heading west.  We walked out of the library to be greeted by a solid RFB and a big rumble of thunder.  A small cell was developing just W of Temora and was going to pass just W and S of the town.  We moved to the outskirts of town and had a look at this cell before deciding to continue our journey west.  This decision meant we had to drive through the cell and we encountered some torrential rain and soft small hail (ie when it hit the windscreen it looked a bit like sleet).  On the other side, we stopped to view it from the back and get a few photos.  I managed to catch a CG on video (without knowing it at the time) but apart from that, the cell didn’t appear to be doing too much.  We continued west.

We could make out a distant anvil to our West which looked HUGE.  Our excitement levels started to rise as we closed in on the cell at 180km/h (i.e. it was moving E at 60km/h and we were moving W at 120km/h).  As we neared Ardlethan we could start to make out a line of flanking towers/Cu extending off to the N of the cell but these weren’t looking hugely great with precipitation already falling out of them even though they were only topping out at about 25,000ft.  It was very dark off to our WSW as we neared Barellan and we could now make out dust being kicked up along the outflow from the precipitation. 

(Video 5 | Video 6)

The gustfront (I’ll call it that because technically that’s what it was – it was just too dry in the low levels for it to have a shelf cloud to mark the gust front) was now only about 5km to our W and was looking reasonable but we quickly realised that the stronger part of the dust/outflow was going to pass about 3km south of town.  After a quick check of the maps, I had us heading South along a road to intercept the storm.  Cleared paddocks of red dirt to our west gave us a perfect view of the approaching storm.  We stopped away from some trees and set up our cameras for what we thought would be a bit of a dusty gustfront pushing across the freshly ploughed paddock beside us. 

Gustnado!!!!!!!!!!

There was a line of trees on the other side of the paddock, about 500m to our W and as the trees got enveloped by the dust, we realised that this cell was packing quite a punch.  The dust started racing across the field towards us and behind the ONLY tree in the paddock, a narrow column of dust kicked up and rotated.  I immediately recognised this as a gustnado – it was very well defined (compared to the rest of the gust front). 
 

David and I were both screaming with excitement as this gustnado headed across the paddock towards us.  It was going to pass JUST to our N (by about 50-80m)!!!  Within 10 seconds, another one developed 200m away in the paddock and was heading right for us!!!  More screams of excitement and shouts of hold on to your camera were heard as we braced ourselves for the impact. 

(Video 7 | Video 8 )



Fortunately (or unfortunately?) it passed about 20 metres to our N but we were still blasted with dust and winds of about 80km/h.  There was an AWESOME inflow jet (inflow into the gustnado but outflow from the storm) absolutely racing across the field literally 20m in front of us which looked to have stronger winds and after filming this for 30 seconds or so, David decided to run into it!  After another few minutes of strong outflow winds the rain started and we raced back to the car – both of us overwhelmed with what we had just seen!  This made up for the disappointments of earlier in the day and we just couldn’t believe out luck!

Decision time again...

Eventually we headed back to town and assessed our options.  We were quite certain we couldn’t catch this cell before dark as it raced off to the east at 60km/h and it had a good 15km on us already and there were some other weaker cells to our N, NW and W which we figured would make good sunset subjects.  We headed back east to Ardlethan and set ourselves up for the sunset and to decide where to spend the night.  We were slightly hopeful of a lightning show but we were still stoked about the gustnadoes so this wasn’t as high a priority as it had been earlier in the day.  The sunset wasn’t quite as good as we’d hoped but we still took over 50 photos (gotta love digital cameras).

Video 9



During the sunset, we made the decision to head back to Wagga (about 130km away) and stay the night there as it put us closer to home for the next day and also a bit further E just in case something kicked up on the trough after dark. 

Video 10

Driving back to Wagga, we spotted some nice cells off to the far SE and South, and as darkness approached, we saw quite a few flashes of lightning from these cells (although more so from the cells to the SE over the ranges).  We booked our accommodation in Wagga (which had a balcony looking S) but we decided not to head into the ranges to the SE and try and get lightning pics from these cells.  Instead, we grabbed some KFC for dinner (another healthy meal – although it was at this point we realised that we forgot to have lunch…hehe) and watched the lightning from the balcony whilst we loaded radar and satellite pics to see if anything would develop to the NW and give us our own lightning show.  Macca shoots a wonderful sunset

Great lightning display....

Video 11 - Night Lightning)
 

During dinner a few showers popped up about 100km NW and West of Wagga and within 20 minutes, they were showing up green (20-40mm/hr) on radar.  David and I decided to head out of town for a drive to see if there was any lightning in them.  We packed our gear back into the car and headed out but within 1 minute of leaving the lights of Wagga behind us we saw a flash of lightning. 

A HUGE cheer was let out by both David and myself and this continued for the next 5 flashes.  The lighting was quite infrequent but we were just happy to see any at all.  David had chased the area previously and he found us a nice clear area North of town which gave us decent views in the direction of the storms.  We set up our camera gear for a few minutes before a shower/weak storm moved over us and forced us back to the car for 5 minutes. Whilst this was happening, the cells to the NW were picking up in intensity and the lightning was becoming more frequent.



Over the next 1.5hrs, we watched as these storms moved from 80km to our WNW to be just 10km N of us and then move off to the east.  We were treated to a very nice display of CG and CC lighting from several cells, with each spectacular flash producing cheers of joy or dismay from David and myself as we photographed or missed photographing these storms. 

Finally, at about 12:30am, we decided to call it a night as the cell closest to us was weakening rapidly and moving too far away for decent photography.  We were slightly tempted to head N to Temora as we could see another cell about 100km to our N which was flashing away brilliantly, however, we were both exhausted after driving 830km and starting the chase 17hrs earlier.


 


2nd November 2004

Planning and backing your judgement....

We left the motel in Wagga at 9:30am.  Got breakfast at Maccas (yep – clearly the chasers diet) and headed to the Wagga lookout but it didn't look much.  Cells were developing off to the E over the ranges and we figured we would be too far S and W for any decent action.  Call from Anthony Cornelius at 10:30am increased our enthusiasm as he indicated we might not be in a bad position albeit there was a chance it might dry out as NW’ly winds were pushing in not far above the surface.  We headed to the Wagga library to check the usuals (sounding, radar, satellite, model runs, etc).  We pretty much decided to chase the strong front progged to move across Victoria in the afternoon due to our commitments back in Melbourne that night at about 7pm.  A big upper trough was progged to drop 500mb temps from -18C to -28C over Melbourne within 12hrs.  This strong upper trough created havoc with the shear over the SW Slopes and NE Victoria with 500mb winds progged to reach 75knts.  Supercells were quite the chance although it was questionable whether there would be enough instability to withstand such strong shear as it was still quite dry in the lower levels.  The surface situation was quite complex with 2 or 3 separate weak troughs sitting through central and south eastern NSW.  The Wagga sounding was very nice with LI’s of about -6C, awesome wind shear and a near perfect cap.  As tempted as we were, we still thought we would be too far S and W for the best action for the day. 

The road south...

We left Wagga library just on midday and saw NICE cells way off to the NE near Cowra and Goulburn and we cursed not having another day to chase.  After getting lost in the outskirts of Wagga, we headed S to The Rock where we stopped to look at some dark based, low topped cumulus and to take in the shear which was blatantly evident above us with the Cu racing SSE at about 25knts and then the AltoCu racing faster to the E at about 60knts.  (Video 12)




While we were there, the small Cu EXPLODED as the cap broke. 
Video 13 - timelapse

Within 10 minutes, we went from watching mushy, scuddy cumulus to SOLID, rock hard updrafts with pileus caps at various levels.  We took time-lapse video of these cells over the next 20 minutes and numerous photos as we watched in awe.  They were not topping out very high (no more than 20,000ft) although the cells a bit further SE along what developed into a line were topping around 28,000ft.  Given the strong shear, these cells were RACING to the SE into hard-to-get areas so we decided after a while to give them a miss. 

We continued S still thinking we would intercept the front somewhere over northern Victoria and after filling up with fuel and lunch (McDonalds again…hehe), we headed through Albury and across the border into Victoria.  Not far from Wodonga, we noted some very dark skies to our SW and W and the highway kindly took us in the right direction for a closer inspection.  Some weak showers and storms had developed ahead of the front in the warm air over NE Victoria.  With upper levels rapidly cooling, there was quite a bit of instability in this region.  We turned the AM radio on and we were surprised by the somewhat frequent bursts of static coming from these cells. 

Springhurst explodes....!

We stopped at the Springhurst turnoff on the Hume Hwy to watch a cell just to the W to see if it had any lightning as it had a decent rain shaft and a somewhat high (5000ft) but solid RFB.  We didn’t see any lightning but heard a few rumbles of thunder and we were lucky enough for the RFB to let go right over us


We got blasted by STRONG winds with sustained gusts to about 30knts and some LARGE rain drops.  The strong outflow winds continued well after the cell had passed (wondering whether this was a pre-frontal trough) and we watched as the back of the cell filled with hail as it unloaded just to our east.  These cells were quite low topped as the upper levels cooled rapidly ahead of the upper trough. 

Video 14

While we watched this cell, I noticed an interesting RFB about 40km off to the NW.  It had a bit of a bowl shape to it and looked quite reasonable given the distance we were from it.  A quick phone call from Anthony confirmed this was a nice storm with a decent red (100mm/hr+) core and it was racing SE towards us at 75km/h!  Between this cell approaching us, the cell now off to our SE and another cell to our SW, we had quite a bit to look at.  The cell to the NW was starting to look really interesting with a short inflow band developing and a reasonably thick anvil.  I was starting to think all kinds of things given the amount shear and instability in the area.  As this cell got closer, we could see hail shafts falling out of the back of the updraft base which was looking more and more solid and green as it approached.  The main RFB passed to our S but the gustfront developed an awesome layered shelf cloud and became VERY photogenic. 

Video 15 | Video 16



 

David and I were very excited about this cell and we were unsure what to expect as it passed overhead.  We experienced some more strong winds (although not as strong as the first cell) and when we thought it had moved over us and the show was over, it started hailing as hail fell out of the back of the new updraft developing overhead.  The hail was only about 1cm in diameter but it hurt quite a bit as we stood out in it videoing and taking photos.  As the cell moved away, the dark base gave great contrast against the white streaks of hail falling just to our east. 

Homeward bound....

Shortly after, we headed a bit further down the Hume Hwy where the main precipitation core had passed over but we didn’t find any hail bigger than about 1.5cm (we were a bit disappointed…hehe).  Again we were blown away with the luck we had had with this trip so far.  We continued S along the Hume with the hope of still intercepting the front somewhere in north central Victoria.  Unfortunately it clouded over quite a bit and although we stopped to watch the front pass over, it turned out to be a bit of an anticlimax (especially after what we had heard from the Melbourne Cup at Flemington where dust and torrential rain had nearly blown all the race-goers away.  We weren’t too disappointed given the things we had seen over the past two days.

We continued home through the ranges to David’s place and we watched the external temperature gauge drop from 29C near Albury before the first storm to just 11C on the Hume Hwy near Seymour as we crossed the front and moved into the FREEZING air mass following.  All in all it was a great chase with many highs and lows (no pun intended…hehe) and my last before I head overseas to work in the Canadian ski fields for 5 months.  What a way to start and finish my chase season!! 

Overall we drove over 1450 kilometres and were blessed by backing our own judgement and some good luck to boot. A great chase and one we will relive and recount for years.


Soundings....

Moree Soundings from 31/10/04 00Z to 01/11/04 12Z. Courtesy Weatherzone.

Wagga Wagga Soundings from 31/10/04 00Z to 01/11/04 12Z. Courtesy Weatherzone.


Lifted Index
Lifted Index 31/10/04 00Z to 01/11/04 12Z. Courtesy Weatherzone.


Radar Loops
Yarrawonga 128k & 256K radar 31/10/04 2150Z to 01/11/04 1250Z. Archive courtesy of
Mike Fewing's Radar & Satellite Archives

Video listing
 

  Size Description
Video 1 3.5mb Nov 1st: Uranquity & Wagga Wagga Lookout
Video 2 4.2mb Nov 1st Wagga Lookout with rain, wind & lightning
Video 3 2.7mb Nov 1st: More torrential rain in Wagga
Video 4 4.1mb Nov 1st: En route Junee
Video 5 4.5mb Nov 1st: Between Temora & Ardlethan & then near Barellan
Video 6 3.3mb as above showing raised dust with approaching storm
Video 7 9.7mb Nov 1st: Gustnado!!! Fantastic & exciting footage.
Video 8 3.9mb Nov 1st: Gustnado action
Video 9 4.9mb Nov 1st: Decision time and some nice cells
Video 10 2.6mb Nov 1st: Near West Wyalong, sunset.
Video 11 1.0mb Nov 1st: Great lightning display overnight near Wagga
Video 12 5.7mb Nov 2nd: Near The Rock, morning development
Video 13 5.9mb Nov 2nd: Terrific time-lapse near The Rock
Video 14 2.2mb Nov 2nd: 10-15km south of Albury
Video 15 4.8mb Nov 2nd: Monster cell near Springhurst
Video 16 1.6mb Nov 2nd: As above.

 

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